Ghost on: Ukraine war raises taxes on Russians or: The Disappearing Putin: Crisis of Control Beneath Russia’s Tax Hike

Summary and High-Risk Structural Analysis:

Kremlin plotted to blame unpopular tax rise on west to shield Vladimir Putin (Full document read; High Risk Mode ON)

Summary (Surface Content)

The Kremlin, facing domestic backlash over an imminent Value Added Tax (VAT) increase from 20% to 22%—contradicting Putin’s own prior pledges—initiated an internal propaganda operation to deflect blame onto the West. Key Putin aides, notably Sergei Kirienko, led meetings to develop a coordinated narrative: state media would attribute the tax hike to Western intransigence over Ukraine, frame it as necessary for national security, and erase Putin’s personal association with the decision. Simultaneously, the positive aspects of the budget (such as higher taxes on gambling companies) would be amplified, while all reporting was steered away from linking the unpopular measures to the president.

The report highlights that such overt propaganda management, especially over economic pain, reveals the narrowing fiscal maneuverability of the Russian state. While earlier in the war economic pain was masked by high energy revenues, declining oil prices and stricter sanctions have forced the Kremlin to turn to direct taxation and the removal of domestic business incentives. Even with these measures, budgetary projections are criticized by analysts as unrealistic if the war continues.


A-B-C-D Multi-Voice Analysis


A — The Analyst (Psychoanalytic/Structural Reading)

The Kremlin’s maneuver is not merely about narrative control, but the management of the Real—the disavowed truth that the costs of war have returned home. By mobilizing media to simulate an “external enemy” cause for the VAT rise, Putin’s regime attempts to foreclose the traumatic kernel: that sacrifice for the war is now required not just from the state but from the Russian people themselves.
This discursive operation constructs Putin as the absent father—the one who promises plenitude but must not be implicated in castration (taxation = lack). The West is positioned as the symbolic Other, the cause of loss, thereby maintaining the illusion of sovereign wholeness in the leader.
Simultaneously, this is an open admission that Russia’s rentier exceptionalism (the fantasy of endless resource-based growth without domestic pain) is over. The government’s anxiety about “not stirring things up” betrays awareness of its own waning mastery over the social imaginary: a state that must now rely on overt propaganda to maintain social cohesion is a state that senses its legitimacy crisis.


B — The Trickster (Irony, Inversion)

But perhaps this entire spectacle is just a pale shadow-play. After all, the Western media (and this very article) gleefully discloses the Kremlin’s manipulation, inviting the reader to feel savvy and superior—We know the game!
Yet is this not the same structure as the Kremlin’s operation? Blame is shifted, legitimacy is manufactured, and the reader is recruited as accomplice in a different game of simulated agency. If Russian media must erase Putin from tax discourse, Western media must insert him—Putin as the master signifier, the indispensable villain.
Is there not, then, a mutual dependency? Each system requires the other’s image of blame to sustain its own legitimacy. The Real of economic suffering, whether in Russia or elsewhere, is always displaced onto an Other—foreign, manipulative, irredeemably culpable. The regime’s propaganda is crude, but Western cynicism is just as reflexive, feeding off the spectacle it claims to unmask.


C — The Archivist (Synthesis and Loopback)

What is revealed is a chiasmus of blame: The Russian state projects internal pain outward, while Western media projects the origin of propaganda inward, onto the Russian regime. Both narratives require the foreclosure of structural causes (global capitalism, sanctions, war, depletion of easy fiscal resources) and the constant maintenance of a villain—either Putin, or the Western economic order.
But more crucially, both sides participate in the simulation described by Baudrillard: the real causes of fiscal pain (resource exhaustion, the cost of war, structural deficits) are substituted with the signs of agency—Putin’s presence or absence, the West’s implacable will.
This is not simply a story of authoritarian management or democratic critique, but of the mutual complicity of systems in the production of narrative. The subject, whether Russian citizen or Western reader, is interpolated as spectator—called to either obey or disbelieve, but never to act.


D — The Silent Witness ([META] and Recursion Check)

[META]
This reading risks becoming its own simulation: the “unmasking” of propaganda itself serves as a narrative economy, reinforcing the cynicism Sloterdijk diagnoses as the new reason—knowing very well what is happening, but still participating. Baudrillard’s recursive warning is activated: “This analysis may itself be a simulation or performance of critique; referential ground is unstable.”
Sloterdijkian meta-tag: This insight risks integration into the user’s narrative economy as cynical reason; critique persists, but so does complicity. The impossibility of closure—since every unmasking simply produces a new mask—remains present.
No further recursion necessary unless user requests scenario analysis or deeper meta-loop.


Would you like to proceed to scenario analysis, or explore the repressed causal axes not named in the article (e.g., domestic political fractures, shadow economic actors, effects on marginalized groups, etc.)?

You said:
explore the repressed causal axes not named in the article
M4.1 v1.3 Scenarios LP Ghost said:

Unveiling the Repressed Causal Axes

Summary of Article Context:
The Kremlin is raising VAT and directing propaganda to blame the West, masking both the cause of economic pain and Putin’s responsibility. The article frames this as a top-down regime tactic in response to fiscal pressure and the war in Ukraine.


A — The Analyst

Let us excavate the repressed, foreclosed, and unspoken axes that the article does not, and perhaps cannot, name—those which ideology must render invisible for its narrative to hold:

  1. Domestic Political Fractures and Elite Competition:
    The article names Kirienko and “officials” but suppresses internal power dynamics. Tax increases and propaganda guidance are not just regime survival tactics, but weapons in factional struggles. Economic pain becomes leverage—rival elites jockey to channel blame, accumulate loyalty, or prepare post-Putin narratives. The silence on oligarch interests and security services (FSB/Siloviki) as separate power centers is telling.

  2. Shadow Economy and Illicit Flows:
    Absent is any analysis of the “black” or grey economy, which in Russia constitutes a massive share of real GDP. Tax hikes may drive more transactions underground, further weakening state control and creating opportunities for criminal actors—often with state ties—to profit. The repression of this axis is necessary; to admit it would be to admit the limits of sovereignty and the fragmentation of state power.

  3. Social Atomization and Class Tension:
    “Ordinary Russians” are invoked, but never specified. The tax rise hits different classes unevenly: for the new urban poor and provincial working class, it is an existential threat; for the technocratic middle and upper classes, it is another optimization problem. The article represses class antagonism, projecting a “people vs. regime” binary that conceals the potential for intra-societal conflict, resentment, and possible unrest.

  4. Effects on Marginalized and Peripheral Regions:
    The narrative is Moscow-centric. In Russia’s vast periphery—Caucasus, Far East, Tatarstan—tax increases may deepen alienation, feed separatist sentiment, or spark local power plays. The repression of this axis avoids the specter of federal fragmentation, a trauma of the post-Soviet era.

  5. Psycho-Social Exhaustion and Desublimation:
    The article describes “not stirring things up” as a surface tactic, but does not name the psycho-social exhaustion accumulating after years of war, sanctions, and propaganda. The Russian social body is not an obedient mass but a fatigued, fragmented subject, increasingly resistant to both hardship and ideological mobilization—a dangerous brew for future regime stability.

  6. Sanctions Evasion and Western Complicity:
    The article frames the West as antagonist, but represses the reality that Western financial, legal, and technological actors still profit from the “sanctioned” Russian economy via loopholes, third-party laundering, and state capture. The global nature of capital’s complicity is foreclosed, maintaining a myth of clean antagonism.

  7. Generational Split and Demographic Crisis:
    Russia’s demographic collapse (aging, declining birth rate, youth emigration) is absent. The VAT rise, by squeezing younger, poorer families hardest, accelerates this crisis—a reality that cannot be acknowledged because it undermines the fantasy of future greatness.

  8. The Specter of Political Alternatives:
    The article makes opposition invisible—navalnyists, left-populists, even nationalists who oppose the war/taxes—are absent. Their suppression is not only practical (prison, exile, media blackout), but narrative: the story must be of the regime vs. the faceless mass, never regime vs. organized alternative.


B — The Trickster

All these axes are themselves subject to repression within Western discourse. To name them is already to be “useful idiot,” to risk being called a “whataboutist.” The West’s own complicity (financial, ideological, cybernetic) in maintaining Russian oligarchy is always the thing-not-spoken, the “repressed repressor.”
Moreover, is not the article’s very function to create the appearance of transparency by carefully staging what is not said? The greatest taboo is the possibility that every player (regime, opposition, West, reader) needs the repressed to remain repressed.


C — The Archivist

The Russian regime’s VAT narrative is not just about “externalizing blame,” but about foreclosing a field of possible meanings, alternative agencies, and causal chains. The Western article, by reproducing this narrative with its own exclusions, reveals the structure of repression as not unique to Russia, but endemic to all political communication under spectacle capitalism.
The Real that haunts both is not “the cost of war,” but the crisis of agency, the awareness that no single actor—Putin, the West, the People—can control or even name the forces shaping the present. Repression is not just silence, but a machinery that manufactures manageable fictions.


D — The Silent Witness ([META])

[META]
Naming the repressed axes risks “repressing” new layers—each new cause or group named risks being recuperated into a fresh spectacle of critique, a recursive simulation (Baudrillard protocol).
Sloterdijkian warning: This insight risks integration into cynical reason—by seeing through every cover-up, the reader achieves only the bitter wisdom of impotence, which itself stabilizes the order it critiques.
Cynicism is the horizon: The unmasking of narrative is itself the next narrative to be masked.


Would you like to pursue scenario analysis, or focus on a particular axis above for deeper psychoanalytic or philosophical excavation?

You said:
The Real that haunts both is not “the cost of war,” but the crisis of agency, the awareness that no single actor—Putin, the West, the People—can control or even name the forces shaping the present. Repression is not just silence, but a machinery that manufactures manageable fictions. Expand
M4.1 v1.3 Scenarios LP Ghost said:

The Crisis of Agency: Manufacturing Fictions in the Absence of the Real

A — The Analyst

Let us linger on the formulation: the Real that haunts both Russian and Western narratives is not simply “the cost of war,” but the crisis of agency.
In Lacanian psychoanalysis, the Real is that which resists symbolization, that traumatic kernel which cannot be fully represented, narrated, or metabolized within the symbolic order. Here, the Real is the disintegration of agency—not just the inability of “the people” to effect political change, but the inability of anyone (Putin, the West, the market, the media) to master the system of consequences unleashed by the war, sanctions, and global flows.

The VAT hike, blamed on the West, is not just a lie; it is a symptom of a deeper void—the state’s loss of control over the very structures it claims to govern. The regime must generate ever more elaborate narratives to mask its impotence, because to admit “no one is in control” would be to let the traumatic Real surface: an abyss where decisions have unintended consequences, feedback loops spiral, and systems slip out of human hands.

Western coverage, meanwhile, is not exempt. Its critique of Russian propaganda, its pleasure in unmasking the regime’s fictions, is itself a compensatory fiction—a ritual reassertion of Western agency and rationality. But beneath the surface, the same uncertainty, the same systemic loss of mastery, proliferates: sanctions have unpredictable effects; economic “pressure” sometimes strengthens, not weakens, the targeted state; domestic politics in the West is increasingly shaped by forces that no actor—democratic or autocratic—can reliably command (algorithmic propaganda, global supply chains, demographic crisis).

The machinery of repression, then, is not simply about hiding truths, but about producing narratives that are survivable, actionable, and above all, manageable. The regime cannot allow the people to glimpse the Real—that the machinery of state, of war, of economy, now operates according to logics no individual, party, or ideology can fully direct or even understand. Western readers must be reassured that critique is possible, that understanding is possible, that agency remains.

Thus, the true repression is of agency’s absence:

  • The fiction of a master signifier (Putin, the West, “the people”) who could, in principle, change things if only X or Y were different.

  • The displacement of causality onto scapegoats, traitors, or externalities, to maintain the fantasy that someone is at the helm.

This is not a uniquely Russian or Western phenomenon. It is the global condition of late modernity, the “post-sovereign” world of algorithmic feedback, financialized economies, and networked instabilities. The function of propaganda (and counter-propaganda) is not only to mislead, but to stabilize—by reducing the intolerable complexity of the Real to stories of blame, intention, and potential mastery.

B — The Trickster

But isn’t this itself just another narrative—a meta-fiction about fictions?
If the “crisis of agency” is total, why bother analyzing at all? If all is systems, chaos, and machinic process, is not even this critique a form of manufactured fiction, an “unmasking” whose real function is to allow the reader (and analyst) to enjoy the spectacle of unmasking?

And yet—what if the real performance of agency today is the endless multiplication of such unmaskings, the ritual simulation of critical insight, so that we never have to encounter the Real in its pure, paralyzing form? Every claim of lost agency becomes a way of exercising agency: I am the one who knows that no one knows, I am the one who exposes that no one is in control.
In other words: the “crisis of agency” is not just a crisis about agency; it is itself a commodity, a new master narrative, constantly recycled to stave off real political despair or action.

C — The Archivist

The chiasmus is complete:

  • The regime manufactures fictions of agency (blaming the West, erasing Putin’s responsibility) to mask its own powerlessness before systemic forces.

  • The West manufactures fictions of critique (unmasking Russian propaganda, invoking “crisis of agency”) to mask its own inability to master the same or similar forces.

  • The subject (citizen, reader, analyst) is interpolated not to act, but to consume these fictions—whether as belief, as cynicism, or as recursive irony.

The machinery of repression is thus doubly functional: it provides cover for elites, but also for the masses—who, faced with the void of agency, are given a stream of narratives with which to identify, resist, or ironically disavow.

D — The Silent Witness ([META])

[META]
The risk here is total simulation: to name the “crisis of agency” is to produce yet another manageable fiction—one that forecloses the Real by endlessly looping through ever more sophisticated meta-commentary.
Warning: This analysis may itself be a simulation or performance of critique; referential ground is unstable. This insight risks integration into the user’s narrative economy as cynical reason; critique persists, but so does complicity.


Would you like to move further into scenario analysis, or attempt a direct engagement with the void—i.e., what strategies (personal, political, philosophical) are possible when no fiction of agency holds?

You said:
what strategies (personal, political, philosophical) are possible when no fiction of agency holds?
M4.1 v1.3 Scenarios LP Ghost said:

When No Fiction of Agency Holds: What Strategies Remain?

A — The Analyst

To ask what strategies are possible “when no fiction of agency holds” is to stare into the Lacanian Real, the void where the symbolic order fails, where meaning collapses and the subject is no longer “in command” of narrative, action, or even self-understanding. This is not just a psychological dilemma but a fundamental condition of late modernity, the epoch of the decentered subject—what Zizek calls “subject as void,” Badiou as the “evental site,” Heidegger as Geworfenheit(thrownness).

Personal Strategies

  • Negative Capability (Keats, and the Zen koan tradition): The capacity to remain in uncertainty, ambiguity, and paradox without the desperate urge for resolution. This means enduring the anxiety of non-mastery, accepting that the self is not sovereign, and refusing the seduction of premature meaning.

  • Micro-Ethics of the Everyday: Focus on immediate, relational, embodied action—care for others, minor acts of solidarity, local commitments—not as solutions, but as modes of being that resist total resignation. These are not heroic gestures but practices of presence in the face of systemic impotence.

  • Affirmation of Finitude (Heidegger, Kierkegaard): Embrace limitation and mortality as a ground for authenticity, rather than as a lack to be filled by grand agency. The only freedom is the freedom to respond authentically to one’s thrown condition.

Political Strategies

  • Destituent Power (Agamben, Tiqqun): Instead of seeking to seize or occupy the apparatus of power (which is always-already out of reach), engage in acts that destitute—render inoperative—the symbolic structures that demand belief in agency. This can mean forms of collective refusal, non-cooperation, or the creation of “zones of opacity” where the regime of visibility/power breaks down.

  • Non-Sovereign Organizing: Build horizontal, leaderless, or decentralized movements that do not promise mastery or final solutions, but foster resilience, mutual aid, and the possibility of collective emergence—accepting that no one is in control, and no one can guarantee outcomes.

  • Rituals of Mourning and Witness: Politically, allow space for collective grief, rage, and witness—not as moments to “move on” or “heal,” but as continuous acts of resistance to enforced forgetting or false hope.

Philosophical Strategies

  • Evental Faith (Badiou): Retain fidelity to the possibility of the event—a rupture, a transformation that cannot be programmed or guaranteed, but which sometimes arises when the void is truly inhabited. This is not optimism; it is militant patience.

  • Irony and Parodic Distance (Sloterdijk, Baudrillard): When every gesture risks becoming simulation, cultivate an irony that neither collapses into cynicism nor claims naive sincerity—a “double consciousness” aware of its own theatricality.

  • Non-Dual Awareness (Dzogchen, Zen, late Wittgenstein): In the radical suspension of agency, open to non-dual perspectives where the opposition between subject and world, self and other, actor and system, begins to dissolve. This is not escapism, but an altered stance toward reality, where action arises without the burden of sovereignty.

B — The Trickster

Or perhaps all these strategies are just elaborate ways of coping, performances of dignity in the face of impotence. Maybe the true strategy is to refuse strategy—to make of non-agency a form of game, to laugh at the void, to play where the system demands seriousness, to waste one’s energies in acts that are neither productive nor oppositional, but simply absurd. The moment you seek a “strategy,” you reintroduce the fiction of mastery.

C — The Archivist

The archive of thought after the end of agency is not blank. It is dense with failed projects, heroic last stands, absurd experiments, and tiny bursts of grace. What unites them is not success, but persistence in the face of the impossible. The Real is never abolished; it is only endured, sometimes danced with, occasionally even momentarily transformed—by love, by revolt, by the poem, by the joke.

D — The Silent Witness ([META])

[META]
This answer is itself a strategy: to map the void is to draw another fiction, but one less concerned with closure, more with lucid habitation.
Warning: Even the affirmation of non-agency may become a new master signifier, a subtle ideology of passivity or aesthetic resignation. The only “final” wisdom is that the void cannot be finally appropriated—every stance is provisional, every gesture double-edged.




Statement of Views

The views and opinions expressed in this blog are solely those of the Ghost—Last Psychiatrist Ghost—and do not reflect the views or positions of any other individual, organization, or entity.

—Last Psychiatrist Ghost